Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 3.307966 3.669664 4.061644 4.519179 5.040043 5.616245 6.304237
2025-06-01 2.741752 3.216053 3.765866 4.454638 5.300423 6.312856 7.628136
2025-06-08 2.398321 2.928262 3.573338 4.424914 5.532305 6.941366 8.898788
2025-06-15 2.227986 2.812430 3.553583 4.576630 5.974715 7.852126 10.622517
2025-06-22 2.032121 2.634663 3.424455 4.555201 6.165514 8.428482 11.945757
2025-06-29 1.863929 2.472561 3.293389 4.506579 6.298299 8.920651 13.193446
2025-07-06 1.665927 2.250363 3.056643 4.279220 6.138944 8.953281 13.722866
2025-07-13 1.570950 2.162761 2.998927 4.301714 6.347163 9.556574 15.235685
2025-07-20 1.504574 2.109462 2.983973 4.382935 6.648676 10.333699 17.144110
2025-07-27 1.448851 2.066466 2.978991 4.475950 6.973972 11.181248 19.297693
2025-08-03 1.390349 2.014296 2.954705 4.533668 7.242953 11.958689 21.436336
2025-08-10 1.329187 1.953305 2.911235 4.554371 7.447601 12.641240 23.493271
2025-08-17 1.237323 1.840328 2.780236 4.422159 7.378247 12.828660 24.612825
2025-08-24 1.170063 1.762075 2.699720 4.369171 7.445841 13.281730 26.369580
2025-08-31 1.113828 1.697819 2.637313 4.341633 7.555987 13.828066 28.423761
2025-09-07 1.094936 1.692915 2.672763 4.490153 8.013738 15.128100 32.449318
2025-09-14 1.047398 1.637415 2.618185 4.469245 8.137403 15.748524 34.969660
2025-09-21 0.999113 1.577791 2.552445 4.421728 8.201856 16.248028 37.283358
2025-09-28 0.926216 1.472453 2.400503 4.199475 7.886983 15.871746 37.242263
2025-10-05 0.896746 1.440366 2.376492 4.221466 8.084179 16.677269 40.550628
2025-10-12 0.877726 1.425309 2.381869 4.300868 8.411231 17.827537 45.084752
2025-10-19 0.861313 1.413831 2.392805 4.391790 8.772533 19.110768 50.324220
2025-10-26 0.840977 1.394161 2.387178 4.448205 9.062009 20.257907 55.441854